Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1402.925247 1607.137435 1837.816914 2119.104797 2454.737090 2844.731101 3335.609039
2025-06-29 1061.608002 1314.095008 1628.103849 2052.817491 2620.800237 3366.611904 4441.162422
2025-07-06 873.848737 1134.004644 1477.404104 1973.641622 2689.094003 3710.364243 5330.348261
2025-07-13 793.713689 1072.497699 1459.942977 2053.583171 2969.823851 4383.506721 6843.618826
2025-07-20 718.729152 1003.498729 1416.295450 2080.407444 3166.647382 4960.334182 8353.128987
2025-07-27 659.980718 948.141486 1381.608555 2110.038055 3366.058958 5575.245410 10100.968872
2025-08-03 609.383195 897.656224 1345.725793 2128.724932 3545.472759 6188.259863 12031.742142
2025-08-10 577.397419 871.505135 1343.534900 2201.050394 3829.876561 7057.731970 14794.689616
2025-08-17 545.620502 841.634107 1330.601997 2250.825158 4079.048779 7914.594609 17855.573882
2025-08-24 513.945736 808.281826 1307.197401 2276.723490 4284.186780 8726.972420 21141.441781
2025-08-31 484.447885 775.470475 1280.590399 2291.772953 4468.380959 9537.931266 24787.974844
2025-09-07 464.331633 756.769829 1276.809244 2350.371935 4757.305989 10677.382397 29984.868043
2025-09-14 426.293424 703.923900 1206.453638 2267.652378 4720.229216 11006.909531 32837.593666
2025-09-21 393.303729 657.628610 1144.283483 2194.754588 4695.694175 11374.122451 36085.942916
2025-09-28 362.373085 612.556487 1080.081232 2108.955170 4624.002074 11592.260291 38927.205450
2025-10-05 353.422360 607.547857 1093.497554 2195.658156 5004.428607 13260.040656 48910.803316
2025-10-12 339.128494 591.120394 1082.282931 2224.767828 5241.026722 14570.708658 58460.031880
2025-10-19 326.281739 576.386561 1072.972222 2256.930139 5493.754238 16032.542936 70201.151443
2025-10-26 313.358529 560.442146 1059.522329 2277.217935 5718.090657 17487.740914 83531.054066
2025-11-02 306.279247 555.553732 1069.051009 2355.770004 6134.762141 19841.945250 105514.138925
2025-11-09 297.584151 546.664033 1068.947564 2409.857605 6490.713161 22131.643967 130709.992021
2025-11-16 287.481589 534.086628 1059.435902 2438.008719 6771.560120 24250.447935 158421.295287
2025-11-23 277.217757 520.415846 1046.187715 2454.369998 7018.637396 26353.480485 190364.144970